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Wednesday, November 6, 2024

The Risks of AI Escalating If Trump Secures Another Victory

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In Short:

A US official emphasizes the importance of reporting requirements for AI models to protect public safety, citing concerns about their powerful capabilities. Unlike stricter regulations in the EU and China, Biden’s approach is seen as supportive of innovation. While some Republicans may seek to roll back these measures, experts argue they are crucial for preventing social harms and ensuring safety in AI development.


The US government is emphasizing the importance of reporting requirements aimed at monitoring potentially hazardous advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) models. A government official, who chose to remain anonymous, highlighted OpenAI’s recent acknowledgment of its latest AI model’s inconsistent refusal to generate requests for synthesizing nerve agents as a significant example of these concerns.

Regulatory Balance

The official noted that the new reporting obligation is not excessively burdensome. Unlike the AI regulations observed in the European Union and China, the Biden administration’s Executive Order is characterized as a “very broad, light-touch approach,” which is expected to continue fostering innovation within the sector.

Nick Reese, who previously served as the first director of emerging technology at the Department of Homeland Security, has dismissed claims from conservative factions asserting that these reporting requirements could threaten companies’ intellectual property. He further argued that these guidelines could promote the development of “more computationally efficient,” less data-intensive AI models, which would fall below the reporting threshold.

Government Oversight as a Necessity

Ami Fields-Meyer, a key contributor to the drafting of the Executive Order, stressed the necessity of government oversight in light of AI’s rapidly increasing capabilities. “These companies claim to be developing the most powerful systems in history,” she stated. “The government’s primary duty is to ensure public safety. Simply asserting ‘trust us’ lacks persuasive force.”

Experts have lauded the guidance from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) as an essential tool for integrating security measures into new technological advancements, warning that flawed AI systems could lead to serious societal issues, such as discrimination in housing and lending or erroneous denial of government benefits.

Industry Response to Safety Implementations

The AI sector has largely embraced Biden’s safety agenda, with a US official acknowledging its general usefulness for clarifying regulatory expectations. “For new companies with smaller teams, it broadens their ability to manage these concerns,” he added. Additionally, the ramifications of rolling back the Executive Order would signal an alarming shift towards a more lenient approach to AI safety, according to Michael Daniel, a former presidential cyber adviser.

Supporters of the Executive Order also argue that implementing safety regulations will reinforce American competitiveness against China by ensuring that US AI models perform effectively while safeguarding them from potential economic espionage.

Future Uncertainties

Should Donald Trump reclaim the presidency, a significant shift in the government’s stance on AI safety may occur. Republican leaders advocate for preventing AI risks through current tort and statutory laws rather than introducing broad new regulations. This shift could jeopardize the reporting requirements and possibly challenge some of NIST’s guidance.

Furthermore, legal challenges could arise regarding the reporting requirement, especially after recent Supreme Court rulings that have lessened the deference historically granted to federal agencies regarding their regulatory measures.

This partisan divide surrounding AI regulation has raised concerns among technologists. Nicol Turner Lee, director of the Brookings Institution’s Center for Technology Innovation, emphasized the dual nature of AI’s potential, stating, “Alongside the promises of AI are its perils, making it essential for the next president to prioritize the safety and security of these systems.”

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